• ThinkWink

    Monthly Market Outlook – August 2024

    The month of July witnessed marquee events, a union budget that centered around nine core areas and balanced fiscal prudence with growth. The lowering of fiscal deficit numbers to 4.9% compared to the previous 5.1% outlined in the previous budget, and a commitment to reach below 4.5% by FY 2025-26 is a huge positive. This crucial development lays the groundwork for a resilient economy, one that is capable of long-term growth and development. To read more about our budget outlook click here. We expect to see a significant increase in tax as well as non-tax revenue and a positive gross…

  • ThinkWink

    Monthly Market Outlook – June 2024

    An uncertain Summer has been the highlight of the past month, with temperatures soaring to an all-time high. The human race has contributed massively climate change through activities that may spell development, but also bring about a sea change in the ecological balance around the world. India’s dependence on weather conditions is significant when it comes to the availability and productivity of labor. A report from RBI’s Department of Economic and Policy Research (DEPR) finds that changing weather patterns could cost 2.8% of India’s GDP. For the growth of the country to remain sustainable, it’s important to ensure preparedness for…

  • ThinkWink

    Empowering NRIs: Unlocking UPI Options for International Transactions

    Digitalization has brought about a massive sea of change in our lives. From Artificial intelligence and robotics, technology has revolutionized numerous facets of daily life, transforming how individuals, businesses, and societies interact and transact. One such manifestation is in the form of Unified Payments Interface (UPI), a groundbreaking payments infrastructure introduced in India. The payments interface that was launched in 2016 brings about a seamless integration of technology and finance, offering an instant, and secure platform for peer-to-peer and peer-to-merchant transactions. We look at elucidating how technological innovation has fueled the proliferation of cashless payments and financial inclusion. UPI has…

  • ThinkWink

    Monthly Market Outlook – May 2024

    The equity markets witnessed a sharp correction over the first week of May 2024 following a surge in frontline indices to all-time highs. Heightened tensions in the Middle East impacted global markets, and had a rippling effect. With the impact of the Lok Sabha elections largely being priced-in by the markets, much of the focus has shifted towards sectors that are likely to witness growth going forward. With expectations around strong reforms and the country’s growth focus, are PSU sectors like Infrastructure, Power, Railways and renewable energy likely to remain major beneficiaries? Infrastructure: Expectations around the infrastructure sector being able…

  • ThinkWink

    ‘CapriWise’

    Presenting the first edition of ‘CapriWise’. We bring this monthly newsletter to talk about a few investments each month – Funds that ‘we think’, investors could consider as part of your portfolio, depending on their individual risk/return profile. ‘CapriWise’ will talk about other investment products that are disrupting the world of investing. These are investments that are relevant and in-line with the current market movements and are likely to gain traction over the long-term. Though not necessarily a part of our whitelist, these could be new fund launches, existing funds or investment vehicles that will add value to an investor’s…

  • ThinkWink

    Monthly Market Outlook – April 2024

    The Indian economy has been witnessing significant growth owing to multiple factors ranging from the government’s increased capex growth, the China +1 strategy and the resilience of the country’s domestic demand situation. On a relative basis, a favorable interest rate versus growth rate differential benefits India, even as domestic demand and consumption contributes significantly. The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI) climbed to a 16-year high of 59.1 in March 2024, from 56.9 in February 2023. Growth quickened across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods sectors. On a relative basis, India continues to have the highest PMI…

  • ThinkWink

    Continuing on a Pause?

    The FED kept interest rates stable for a fifth time in a row. Despite inflation showing a significant downward trend, the FED’s decision to maintain rates stable comes backed by the fact that they want to time their rate cuts in a manner that encourages inflation numbers to go down to their target of 2%. While Powell indicated that it seems uncertain as to when the US will achieve the inflation target, it is something that they are sure to achieve. It’s interesting to note that January and February witnessed higher CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PCE (Personal Consumption Index)…

  • ThinkWink

    Froth – How bad is it?

    Small Cap and Mid-Cap stocks have been in the limelight for a little over 3 years now. But the one thing that we always remind investors is to stay grounded. The reason is simple and straightforward – Markets are cyclical in nature and have always been in the past. Take the classic case of the small and Mid-cap category which has witnessed significant growth and buying over the past 3 years. This buying spree in turn led to a lot of stocks within the segment becoming overvalued. Despite this, we have continued to buy, simply because of the upside that…

  • ThinkWink

    Monthly Market Outlook – March 2024:

    India’s growth trajectory continued in a positive direction during the month of February 2024, with India’s stock market setting the stage for a compelling narrative of resilience, adaptability, and opportunity. For instance, Auto component exports are expected to grow and reach US$ 30 billion in FY26. This growth is further supported by a 100% FDA investment in the auto components sector. India is also the 2nd largest producer of steel globally and this bodes as a huge advantage for related businesses that use steel as a raw material. Within the Financial domain, the growth of Fintech’s, the cleaning up of…