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    ‘CapriWise’

    Presenting the first edition of ‘CapriWise’. We bring this monthly newsletter to talk about a few investments each month – Funds that ‘we think’, investors could consider as part of your portfolio, depending on their individual risk/return profile. ‘CapriWise’ will talk about other investment products that are disrupting the world of investing. These are investments that are relevant and in-line with the current market movements and are likely to gain traction over the long-term. Though not necessarily a part of our whitelist, these could be new fund launches, existing funds or investment vehicles that will add value to an investor’s…

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    Monthly Market Outlook – April 2024

    The Indian economy has been witnessing significant growth owing to multiple factors ranging from the government’s increased capex growth, the China +1 strategy and the resilience of the country’s domestic demand situation. On a relative basis, a favorable interest rate versus growth rate differential benefits India, even as domestic demand and consumption contributes significantly. The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI) climbed to a 16-year high of 59.1 in March 2024, from 56.9 in February 2023. Growth quickened across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods sectors. On a relative basis, India continues to have the highest PMI…

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    Continuing on a Pause?

    The FED kept interest rates stable for a fifth time in a row. Despite inflation showing a significant downward trend, the FED’s decision to maintain rates stable comes backed by the fact that they want to time their rate cuts in a manner that encourages inflation numbers to go down to their target of 2%. While Powell indicated that it seems uncertain as to when the US will achieve the inflation target, it is something that they are sure to achieve. It’s interesting to note that January and February witnessed higher CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PCE (Personal Consumption Index)…

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    Froth – How bad is it?

    Small Cap and Mid-Cap stocks have been in the limelight for a little over 3 years now. But the one thing that we always remind investors is to stay grounded. The reason is simple and straightforward – Markets are cyclical in nature and have always been in the past. Take the classic case of the small and Mid-cap category which has witnessed significant growth and buying over the past 3 years. This buying spree in turn led to a lot of stocks within the segment becoming overvalued. Despite this, we have continued to buy, simply because of the upside that…

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    Monthly Market Outlook – March 2024:

    India’s growth trajectory continued in a positive direction during the month of February 2024, with India’s stock market setting the stage for a compelling narrative of resilience, adaptability, and opportunity. For instance, Auto component exports are expected to grow and reach US$ 30 billion in FY26. This growth is further supported by a 100% FDA investment in the auto components sector. India is also the 2nd largest producer of steel globally and this bodes as a huge advantage for related businesses that use steel as a raw material. Within the Financial domain, the growth of Fintech’s, the cleaning up of…

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    Monthly Market Outlook – February 2024:

    The markets remained volatile during the month of January which is largely in line with broader market expectations. The upcoming elections in addition to global and local economic factors have led to this volatility. However, the long-term growth story remains intact. With 70% of India’s GDP being driven by consumption, the labor force in India is the second largest in the world. The World Bank places India as the fourth largest consumer market in the world based on consumer spending in nominal terms.  The map indicates that only US, EU and China are able to beat India when it comes…

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    The Economics of Spirituality:

    A 500-year journey that is marked by intricate struggles by many has come to a fruition with the inauguration of the newly constructed Ayodhya temple. Built based on contribution and devotion, the consecration of the ‘Shree Ram Temple’ in Ayodhya has been one of the most widely touted events in India. It has put Bharat in the spotlight, with Uttar Pradesh gaining traction as a ‘new hub’ of development. The word ‘Ram’ has historically resonated with people based on 3 factors: Faith: Spirituality and faith have been amongst the largest drivers of our culture since history. For a country that…

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    The Interim Budget 2024: Expectations Galore!

    Bharat has been witnessing significant growth and has been advantaged due to various factors; the slowdown in China and their real estate crisis being one amongst them. 2024 is another important year in the history of the country as it goes into elections in the month of April/May. The current government has brought about a multitude of changes with announcements like Demonetization, a centralized GST and new tax regime. However, they have left a lot of open ground to cover when it comes to reforms for regular tax payers, investors and small businesses. The interim budget, which is likely to…

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    Monthly Market Outlook – January 2024

    The month of December brings in the festive cheer with beautifully baked cakes, wine, friends and family. Also, from a market perspective, the month of December 2023 remained a good one for Indian equities as the upwards trajectory continued, building a positive momentum. Multiple factors continue to work in India’s favor as we enter into 2024. Global macroeconomics, central bank policies, domestic consumption, favorable weather conditions, growing landscape of start-up’s, fast paced digitalization, consistent FPI/FDI flows and an unprecedented growth of the overall investor base. On the global front too, India has been leading the mantle when it comes to…

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    Investing – (Not) A woman’s world.

    They multitask; managing home, work, family and social life with efficiency that could put machines to shame. They are also amongst the most hardworking and emotionally strong people that we come across. Yet women; who handle household budgets with precision, often take a backseat, when it comes to investing. But is that narrative changing in the wake of a changing socio-economic setup? A global research from October 2023 concluded that about 60% women of the 2000 adults surveyed invested in the stock markets. In fact, women seem more resilient as compared to men when it comes to investing. Source:Fidelity In…